Private risk intelligence · Est. Canada

Know what moves before it moves you.

Zed Three writes custom threat and risk reports for companies with people, suppliers and deals abroad. Senior analysts, honest odds, a clear call.

Request a report Open the Threat MapCustom threat reports from $3,000 CAD
Live index
Countries scored0
Band 5 this week0
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Live index This week

What moved, and why.

· Top three rises and falls in the Zed Three Threat Index. Tap one to see it on the map.

Rising
    Easing
      02 / CHOKEPOINT

      The chokepoints that move your business. Every weekday.

      Our free briefing. Shipping lanes, critical minerals, sanctions and the week's map movers, read in five minutes, with the so what already worked out.

      See what is inside an issue

      Every item, one so what.Tagged Escalating, Stable or Watch, with the source on the line.
      03 / WORLD THREAT MAP

      The world, scored weekly. Free.

      Every Monday we score the world and an analyst signs off on what moved. Hover a country, filter a region, or play the week's change. Based on Zed Three's proprietary internal data sourcing methods.

      THIS WEEK
      FijiTanzaniaW. SaharaCanadaUnited States of AmericaKazakhstanUzbekistanPapua New GuineaIndonesiaArgentinaChileDem. Rep. CongoSomaliaKenyaSudanChadHaitiDominican Rep.RussiaBahamasFalkland Is.NorwayGreenlandFr. S. Antarctic LandsTimor-LesteSouth AfricaLesothoMexicoUruguayBrazilBoliviaPeruColombiaPanamaCosta RicaNicaraguaHondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaBelizeVenezuelaGuyanaSurinameFranceEcuadorPuerto RicoJamaicaCubaZimbabweBotswanaNamibiaSenegalMaliMauritaniaBeninNigerNigeriaCameroonTogoGhanaCôte d'IvoireGuineaGuinea-BissauLiberiaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoCentral African Rep.CongoGabonEq. GuineaZambiaMalawiMozambiqueeSwatiniAngolaBurundiIsraelLebanonMadagascarPalestineGambiaTunisiaAlgeriaJordanUnited Arab EmiratesQatarKuwaitIraqOmanVanuatuCambodiaThailandLaosMyanmarVietnamNorth KoreaSouth KoreaMongoliaIndiaBangladeshBhutanNepalPakistanAfghanistanTajikistanKyrgyzstanTurkmenistanIranSyriaArmeniaSwedenBelarusUkrainePolandAustriaHungaryMoldovaRomaniaLithuaniaLatviaEstoniaGermanyBulgariaGreeceTurkeyAlbaniaCroatiaSwitzerlandLuxembourgBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalSpainIrelandNew CaledoniaSolomon Is.New ZealandAustraliaSri LankaChinaTaiwanItalyDenmarkUnited KingdomIcelandAzerbaijanGeorgiaPhilippinesMalaysiaBruneiSloveniaFinlandSlovakiaCzechiaEritreaJapanParaguayYemenSaudi ArabiaN. CyprusCyprusMoroccoEgyptLibyaEthiopiaDjiboutiSomalilandUgandaRwandaBosnia and Herz.North MacedoniaSerbiaMontenegroKosovoTrinidad and TobagoS. Sudan

      Top 5 up12 wk · Δ

        Top 5 down12 wk · Δ

          WorldBased on Zed Three's proprietary internal data sourcing methods.

          Open the full map, spotlights and table

          04 / WHAT WE DELIVER

          Reports built around one decision. Yours.

          No 80 page country dumps. Each report answers the questions that change your call, with the odds and the action on page one.

          Custom threat reports from $3,000 CAD

          A · Recurring

          Monthly or quarterly threat report

          A standing brief on the countries, routes and suppliers on your watchlist. The core of what we do.

          • Bottom line up front, every time
          • Key judgements with probability and confidence
          • Indicators to watch next period
          • Readout call with the analyst who wrote it
          SEE REPORTS →
          B · Project

          Custom risk assessment

          One country, site, deal or supply chain. Scoped to your deadline, delivered in two to four weeks, or about five days for a rapid read.

          • Scenarios with signposts
          • Ranked recommendations
          • Graded sources, named gaps
          REQUEST A REPORT →
          C · By conversation

          Analyst and ground truth

          An analyst on your desk, or vetted researchers confirming on site what the desk suspects. Scoped case by case under our duty of care standard.

          • Embedded analyst retainers
          • Site and route verification
          • Pre-visit reconnaissance
          CUSTOM PACKAGES →
          See one

          A decision brief on a gold mine in western Mali.

          Fictitious client, real location, real sources. Title page, contents and executive summary in full. The rest stays for clients.

          Sample report page 1: Tambaoura Gold Project: hold the visit, keep the project.
          05 / REQUEST A REPORT

          Five questions. Then a human reads it.

          Every request is read by a senior analyst the same business day. We screen every client before we take the work. Some requests we decline. That is the point.

          1. The decisionWhat are you deciding, and by when?
          2. The exposureCountries, sites, suppliers, routes or people abroad.
          3. The cadenceMonthly, quarterly, one time, or ongoing watch.
          4. The readerWho reads it and how long they will give it.
          5. Scoping callWithin two business days, if we are a fit. Proposal two days after.
          What happens next

          A senior analyst reads it the same business day.

          If we are a fit, you get a scoping call within two business days and a fixed price proposal two days after that. If we are not, we say so quickly and point you somewhere better.

          Custom threat reports from $3,000 CAD
          06 / HOW WE WRITE

          We put odds on it. Every time.

          Every judgement says how likely and how sure we are, on a fixed scale. Likely means 55 to 75%, every time, in every report.

          Remote chance0 to 5%
          Highly unlikely10 to 20%
          Unlikely25 to 35%
          Realistic possibility40 to 50%
          Likely55 to 75%
          Highly likely80 to 90%
          Almost certain95 to 100%
          Graded sources

          Every source in a client report carries a grade. A judgement on thin sourcing says so.

          Legal collection only

          Open sources and consenting interviews. No hacking, no pretexting, no fake personas.

          Calls you can check

          Every public judgement carries a date and the odds, so you can hold us to it.